UNLV
W-L: (29-21) PR = 91.5074Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 0- 8 206 H UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 14- 3 207 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 1- 4 207 H UIC MV ( 4- 4, 88.7) 2- 6 208 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 1-15 213 H UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 1- 5 213 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 0- 2, 83.7) 10- 1 214 H Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 3- 7 214 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 0- 2, 83.7) 9- 1 215 H UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 8-10 219 H Valparaiso MV ( 2- 5, 90.2) 11- 6 220 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 1- 8 221 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 14- 6 221 H Merrimack MAAC ( 0- 3, 85.0) 8- 0 222 H Merrimack MAAC ( 0- 3, 85.0) 6- 3 227 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 2- 9 227 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 5- 6 228 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 9- 0 228 A UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 5- 2 301 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 0- 8 301 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 0- 8 306 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 13- 5 306 H North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 7- 2 307 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 1 307 H North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 7-14 308 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 7 313 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 2- 5 314 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 3- 2 315 A San José State MW (14-33, 89.9) 3- 4 317 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 11- 3 320 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 4- 3 321 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 6- 3 322 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 7-13 327 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 3- 4 328 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 5- 4 329 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 5- 3 402 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 3- 2 403 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 8- 0 404 H Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 5-10 408 A New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 3- 2 411 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 7- 4 412 H Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 12- 8 417 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6- 5 418 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 10- 6 419 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 9- 6 424 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 4- 3 425 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 0- 6 426 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 2- 2 430 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 5- 7 501 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 2 502 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 7- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H California Baptist 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.04
206 H UIC 14- 3 11 3 +++ 7.50
207 H California Baptist 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.04
207 H UIC 2- 6 -4 3 --- -7.50
208 H Purdue 1-15 -14 -2 --- -11.80
213 H UC Davis 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.80
213 H Quinnipiac 10- 1 9 8 0.50
214 H Seattle U 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.20
214 H Quinnipiac 9- 1 8 8 -0.50
215 H UC Davis 8-10 -2 1 - -2.80
219 H Valparaiso 11- 6 5 2 + 2.92
220 H Utah Valley 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.93
221 H Idaho State 14- 6 8 1 +++ 7.08
221 H Merrimack 8- 0 8 7 0.78
222 H Merrimack 6- 3 3 7 -- -4.22
227 A Arizona State 2- 9 -7 -6 -1.32
227 H UC Riverside 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.79
228 A Eastern Illinois 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.19
228 A UC Riverside 5- 2 3 1 1.70
301 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.94
301 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.94
306 H Utah Tech 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.94
306 H North Dakota State 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.93
307 H Loyola Marymount 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.55
307 H North Dakota State 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.07
308 H Loyola Marymount 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.45
313 A San José State 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.85
314 A San José State 3- 2 1 1 0.15
315 A San José State 3- 4 -1 1 -1.85
317 H Utah Tech 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.94
320 H San Diego State 4- 3 1 0 1.00
321 H San Diego State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00
322 H San Diego State 7-13 -6 0 -- -6.00
327 H BYU 3- 4 -1 1 -1.83
328 H Duke 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.36
329 A Fresno State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.83
402 H Colorado State 3- 2 1 1 0.18
403 H Colorado State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.18
404 H Colorado State 5-10 -5 1 -- -5.82
408 A New Mexico 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.43
411 H Utah State 7- 4 3 3 0.15
412 H Utah State 12- 8 4 3 1.15
417 A Boise State 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.67
418 A Boise State 10- 6 4 -2 ++ 5.67
419 A Boise State 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.67
424 A Grand Canyon 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.91
425 H Cal State Fullerton 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.43
426 H Kentucky 2- 2 0 -1 1.48
430 A Lamar 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.13
501 H Nevada 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 5.20
502 H Nevada 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H California Baptist 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.04 207 H UIC 2- 6 -4 3 --- -7.50 208 H Purdue 1-15 -14 -2 --- -11.80 220 H Utah Valley 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.93 307 H North Dakota State 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.07 213 H UC Davis 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.80 222 H Merrimack 6- 3 3 7 -- -4.22 301 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.94 301 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.94 308 H Loyola Marymount 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.45 322 H San Diego State 7-13 -6 0 -- -6.00 404 H Colorado State 5-10 -5 1 -- -5.82 207 H California Baptist 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.04 214 H Seattle U 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.20 215 H UC Davis 8-10 -2 1 - -2.80 227 H UC Riverside 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.79 313 A San José State 2- 5 -3 1 - -3.85 425 H Cal State Fullerton 0- 6 -6 -3 - -3.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H UIC 14- 3 11 3 +++ 7.50 221 H Idaho State 14- 6 8 1 +++ 7.08 228 A Eastern Illinois 9- 0 9 1 +++ 8.19 403 H Colorado State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.18 502 H Nevada 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.20 306 H Utah Tech 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.94 306 H North Dakota State 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.93 317 H Utah Tech 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.94 328 H Duke 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.36 418 A Boise State 10- 6 4 -2 ++ 5.67 419 A Boise State 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.67 424 A Grand Canyon 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.91 501 H Nevada 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 5.20 219 H Valparaiso 11- 6 5 2 + 2.92 307 H Loyola Marymount 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.55 321 H San Diego State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00 329 A Fresno State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.83 408 A New Mexico 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.43 417 A Boise State 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 0- 8 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.49 -1.84
3 H UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 14- 3 -11.15 8.22 -0.74 0.49 7.39
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 1- 4 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.49 -1.84
3 H UIC ( 4- 4, 88.7) 2- 6 -11.15 8.22 -0.74 0.49 -2.94
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 1-15 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.49 -1.53
3 H UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 1- 5 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.49 -2.27
3 H Quinnipiac ( 0- 2, 83.7) 10- 1 -16.15 3.22 -0.74 0.49 2.45
3 H Seattle U ( 2- 4, 93.0) 3- 7 -6.86 12.51 -0.74 0.49 -1.88
3 H Quinnipiac ( 0- 2, 83.7) 9- 1 -16.15 3.22 -0.74 0.49 2.45
3 H UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 8-10 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.49 -2.27
3 H Valparaiso ( 2- 5, 90.2) 11- 6 -9.73 9.64 -0.74 0.49 8.79
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 1- 8 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.49 -2.30
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 14- 6 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.49 9.94
3 H Merrimack ( 0- 3, 85.0) 8- 0 -14.87 4.50 -0.74 0.49 3.71
3 H Merrimack ( 0- 3, 85.0) 6- 3 -14.87 4.50 -0.74 0.49 3.71
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 2- 9 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.49 -0.67
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 5- 6 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.49 -2.76
3 A Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 9- 0 -9.94 9.43 0.74 0.49 10.05
3 A UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 5- 2 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.49 9.56
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 0- 8 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.49 -1.32
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 0- 8 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.49 -1.32
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 13- 5 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.49 7.83
3 H North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 7- 2 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.49 10.78
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 3- 1 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.49 12.38
3 H North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 7-14 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.49 -2.09
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 0- 7 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.49 -1.69
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 2- 5 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.49 -2.28
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 3- 2 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.49 10.01
3 A San José Stat (14-33, 89.9) 3- 4 -9.99 9.38 0.74 0.49 -2.28
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 11- 3 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.49 7.83
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 4- 3 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.49 10.85
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 6- 3 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.49 10.85
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 7-13 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.49 -2.07
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 3- 4 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.49 -2.28
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 5- 4 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.49 15.16
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 5- 3 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.49 11.67
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 3- 2 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.49 10.04
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 8- 0 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.49 10.04
3 H Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 5-10 -8.47 10.90 -0.74 0.49 -2.28
3 A New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 3- 2 -7.70 11.67 0.74 0.49 12.26
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 7- 4 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.49 8.03
3 H Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 12- 8 -10.50 8.87 -0.74 0.49 8.03
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 6- 5 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.49 12.50
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 10- 6 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.49 12.50
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 9- 6 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.49 12.50
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 4- 3 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.49 15.70
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 0- 6 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.49 -1.44
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 2- 2 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.49 0.00
3 A Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 5- 7 -7.27 12.10 0.74 0.49 -1.61
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 4- 2 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.49 14.01
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 7- 4 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.49 14.01
------
244.08
|
winning pts = 285.0408 losing points = -40.9616
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------